Reality Check India

Election without a choice

Posted in Uncategorized by realitycheck on April 6, 2009

Everyone in this country is confused about the elections.  You would think that the elections in the worlds largest democracy with the worlds largest problems would attract lively debate or media coverage. Even the 2004 elections were better. Remember TV anchors criss crossing the country on trains and buses and asking them questions. Nothing of that sort now.

A very cynical understanding is sinking in. That this is a counting exercise of the current strength of temporary groups of narrow interests. Nothing more, nothing less. Once the elections are over, the winners are  free to split, merge, tie up and deal with the same people they fought against.

The vast majority of voters will just vote for the candidate who will do his best to prevent examination of special benefits to his group.  The election stops there.  

After the numbers are out, there will be another round of wheeling dealing in which opponents can become friends and friends can fall out.  This election is the real one and happens after hours.

Case in point : Kerala , West Bengal, and Tripura

What are the people voting for in these three states ?

The left parties will either support the Congress-led coalition (yet to be named) or will support another coalition (also to be named) that will prevent the BJP-led coalition (to be named) from coming to power.

So, a vote for the left is a vote for instability. In the most stable scenario, the left will support the Congress.

Why not vote for the Congress or Trinamool directly if you are secularly inclined ?

4 Responses

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  1. reason said, on April 6, 2009 at 5:39 pm

    Trinamool is particularly screwed. Their only ally can be the BJP. But Trinamool are secular. Post elections, left will continue to cut a deal either with the congress or with the third/fourth/fifth front parties or with both, and continue to screw the Trinamool in Bengal.

    MJ Akbar asked this question to a Trinamool rep during headlines today’s survey. But that man did not appear to get it all!

    That program was pretty decent to watch actually.

    by the way, in kerala one section of secular people favored the congress, and another section the CPIM, in the 2006 assembly elections. there was a single reason – education institutions related.

    >> Everyone in this country is confused about the elections.

    not really I guess. for those who watch english news, I think the choice is being made very easy 🙂

  2. Chakresh Mishra said, on April 6, 2009 at 7:08 pm

    This is actually the curious case of left parties. They used to be bogged down by anti-congress ideology in 60s-70s, now they are anti-BJP and ready to help congress. I think they just can not have enough courage/confidence to participate in a government. They want to be in opposition always, always.
    * 96 was exception, but then there was huge protest within left.
    So, basically anybody who votes for Left is going to be in opposition. So, it is better to vote for UPA or NDA, atleast you have a chance to be a part of governing side.

  3. Lost Paradise said, on April 6, 2009 at 7:16 pm

    Currently the UPA is united only to keep BJP away.
    WE really need to see whether voters make a wise choice and democracy prevails or whether we succumb to populist and hatred politics.

  4. rc said, on April 7, 2009 at 2:31 am

    CPIM MP Abdullakutty, who was earlier in a soup for merely acknowledging Mr Modis industrial policies has outed the CPIM Congress links.

    He claims the Karats always voted for the Congress (they vote in Delhi where CPIM usually has no candidate). He claims that none other then Mr Surjeet has personally asked him to vote for the Congress at national level because the CPIM is confined to only three states. It is quite an explosive revelation.

    This strengthens my theory that the left withdrew support to the UPA only after a deal was negotiated with the SP.

    Search for more on the web.

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