Reality Check India

Analysis of PG Medical (MD , DM, Diploma, MCh) incl Surgical 2015-16

Posted in Uncategorized by realitycheck on June 21, 2015

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Continuing on the Tamilnadu Medical data story, here is the situation in Post Graduate Medical in various colleges in TN. For sake of convenience I have only analyzed colleges with greater than 10 PG positions including surgical and super specialty.

Key Findings

  • Stanley, Kilpauk, Coimbatore have ZERO students from open category
  • There are only EIGHT PG doctors from general category that will graduate in this batch of nearly 300.
  • As quotas are applied at successive stages – they have a cumulative effect.
  • Unless a judicial doctrine of scrutiny is evolved, this will continue. Remember that any change today – will impact doctors only in 2023 to 2025.
TOTAL PG Unreserved OBC BC-Muslim Most BC (MBC) SC SC-A
Madras Medical College 103 4 41 3 30 18 7
Stanley 36 0 17 1 12 4 2
Kilpauk 23 0 12 2 4 5 1
Madurai 41 1 22 2 10 6 0
Thanjavur 28 1 17 1 4 5 * 0
Coimbatore 23 0 14 0 4 5 0
Annamalai 38 2 9 0 12 13 0
TOTAL 292 8 132 9 76 56 10
100% 2.7% 45.2% 3.1% 26.0% 19.2% 3.4%

* includes ST

Source : Data on tnhealth.org – I’ve uploaded the raw data for others to analyze because the link may disappear after counselling.  To see the data click pg  (PDF)

Analysis of Tamilnadu MBBS admissions 2015-16

Posted in Uncategorized by realitycheck on June 21, 2015

Continuing our data series on Tamilnadu medical admissions which you wont find in any main stream media.  This time we will look at the MBBS admissions for 2015-16 and see how it compares with our old analysis of 2013-14.

Results based on provisional MBBS Merit List available at http://www.tnhealth.org/ (click on the scrolling link). I have also posted the raw PDF Provisional Rank List here (mbbs2015-16) because the raw data usually may be removed in a few days after counseling.

In 2015-16, Tamilnadu has 2655 medical seats this year including the ones surrendered by private colleges. Out of this 15% ie 398 seats are filled in via AIPMT (which was cancelled after a paper leak).

Key Findings

  • It appears that over 95.4% of the population of TN is covered in reserved categories. This is supported by the fact that only 4.7% of those who applied for MBBS are from General Category (so called Forward Castes).  Supported by fact that typically becoming doctors is something that ‘forward castes’ ought to be interested in.
  • The castes classified as OBC are showing absolutely no evidence of disability. 13 of 17 tied at 100% are BC.
  • There is an urgent necessity to revise the OBC Caste List due to the fact that 72.1% of the open category seats are taken by candidates belonging to castes currently classified as OBC in Tamilnadu.
  • Only 53 of 2257 doctors will be from the general category in 2020.
  • Only 53 of 2257 who apply for 100-odd open category PG seats in 2020 will be from general category. Multi level quotas are an area of interest for me currently as I consider them unconstitutional (to the extent we even have a constitution).

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Total number of candidates for 2257  seats

2013-14 2013-14 2015-16 2015-16
TOTAL 28785 100% 31525 100%
BC 12131 42.1% 12944 41%
MBC 6464 22.4% 6754 21.4%
BC-Muslim 1518 5.2% 1690 5.4%
SC 6007 20.9% 7257 23.0%
SC-Arunthathiyar 966 3.4% 1079 3.4%
ST 211 0.7% 308 0.9%
Open Category (FC) 1488 5.1% 1493 4.7%

Purely on Merit (If there were no quotas of any kind)

2013-14 2013-14 2015-16 2015-16
TOTAL 2900 100% 2257 100%
BC 1833 63.2% 1653 73.3%
MBC 603 20.8% 343 15.2%
BC-Muslim 97 3.3% 57 2.5%
SC 126 4.3% 52 2.3%
SC-Arunthathiyar 4 0.1% 6 0.1%
Open Category (FC) 230 7.9% 146 6.5%

Number of guaranteed (reserved) seats by
community

2013-14 2013-14 2015-16 2015-16
TOTAL 2900 100% 2257 100%
BC Guaranteed (Reserved) 768 26.5% 598 26.5%
MBC Guaranteed 580 20% 451 20%
BC-Muslim Guaranteed 102 3.5% 79 3.5%
SC Guaranteed 522 15% 338 15%
SC-Arunthathiyar 87 3% 67 3%
Open Category (FC) Guaranteed 0 0% 0 0%
Everyone Competes in 899 31% 699 31%

How the 699 seats in open category were taken

2013-14 2013-14 2014-15 2014-15
TOTAL 899 100% 699 100%
BC 578 64.2% 503 72.1%
MBC 190 21.1% 98 14.0%
BC-Muslim 30 3.3% 23 3.2%
SC 31 3.3% 20 2.8%
SC-Arunthathiyar 3 0.3% 2 0.3%
Open Category

(Unreserved community)

68 7.5% 53 7.6%

Final communal distribution =  Open + Guaranteed

Category Seats obtained in open category Seats guaranteed for community Total seats obtained % % in

2013-14

Change
TOTAL 699 1558 2257 100% 100% 0
BC 503 598 1102 48.8% 46.4% + 2.2%
MBC 98 451 549 24.3% 26.6% – 2.3%
BC-Muslim 23 79 102 4.5% 4.6% – 0.1%
SC 20 338 358 15.9% 19.1% – 3.2%
SC-Arunthathiyar 1 67 68 3.0% 3.1% – 0.1%
Open Category (Unreserved community) 53 0 53 2.3% 2.3% 0 %

Communal loss = Seats if no quota vs with quota

Category Seats obtained when no quota Seats obtained after quota Loss/Gain due to quota Gain/Loss % due to quota

2015-16

Gain/Loss % due to quota

2013-14

TOTAL 2257 2257 2257 100% 100%
BC 1653 1102 -487 -29.4% -26.5%
MBC 343 549 +167 +48.7% +27.6%
BC-Muslim 57 102 +35 +61.4% +36.1%
SC 52 358 +427 +821.1% +338.8%
SC-Arunthathiyar 6 68 +86 +1433.3% +2150%
Open Category (Unreserved community) 146 53 -94 -64.4% -70.4%

Marks distribution in first 899 seats (Exam hardness factor)

Tie break by Date of Birth / followed by Bio Marks/ followed by Random number

Mark % ( Marks out of 200/2) Number of Ties at

2013-14

Number of Ties at

2014-15

Number of ties at

2015-16

100% 7 132 17
99.875% 14 103 37
99.75% 33 223 57
99.625% 76 239 67
99.5% 107 246 100
99.375% 148 272 207
99.25% 172 291 118
99.125% 213 307 147
99% 215 314 199
98.875% 209 334 239

Analysis of this system and its implications for political
landscape of this country in next post.